GBPUSD ‘Dynamic Trend Up’ Setup +38 pips

Setup: Dynamic Trend Up
Order: Long Market Order (1.3150)
Initial Risk:Reward: 2.01

 

Dynamic Trend Up

 

In this setup we use the dynamic trend indicator, also integrated in the alerts indicator. We aim to benefit from the immediate imbalance of supply and demand, and enter when the short-term trend is on our side.
The long trade was opened at 1.3150 and closed at 1.3188 (take-profit hit).

 

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GBPUSD Intraday Snapshot (Trend, Levels, News, More)

Trend (short-term): UP
Market Background (mid-term): STRONG
Supply/Demand: N/A
Support (nearest): 1.2979
Resistance (nearest): 1.3144
Next Event: Empire State Manufacturing Index (1h 29m)
Next High Impact Event: CPI y/y (1d 21h 29m)
Volatility: AVERAGE (-6% avg.)
Daily Range (Expected): 1.3030 – 1.3112 / 51% of avg. daily range Completed

 

GBPUSD

 

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Indicator Updates September/2018

We have released a new update on several of our indicators today – namely in the VSA System and News Indicator (free).

 

1. CHANGES: In the VSA System, a few reported bugs and typos were fixed, and the news indicator got a larger panel so that the titles are fully shown. Click HERE to check all the changes.

 

2. SAMPLE CODE: We also provided sample code that implements various indicators functions, in case you are looking to implement them in your EA or custom indicator.

 

3. UPDATING: As always, you can update the indicators by either:

  1. Using the download button that should show on your Metatrader’s charts (with one or more indicators loaded)
  2. Using your download link

 

AT – News 2.0 for MT4 Launched – Download for FREE

News Indicator

AT – News 2.0

 

We have recently launched AT – News 2.0, an update that adds the option to show more news on the chart and it comes with an improved and more compact look.
 
This update also fixed some bugs from the previous version, so if you are using our news indicator, make sure to download the new version for free:
 

» Download AT – News 2.0 for Metatrader 4 (FREE) «

 
INSTALLING: simply extract the ZIP file to your Metatrader’s data folder (go to File > Open Data Folder to go to this directory). Afterwards, the indicator will be available in your Metatrader under the name ‘AT-News’.

Trading System VSA 5.0 Launched!

VSA Trading System

                               VSA Trading System

 

We have recently launched VSA 5.0, an overhaul to the VSA Trading System that optimized the alerts to get higher success rates and made them more actionable.

 

New setups from the Congestions indicator were also added, so that the system alerts you when there is strong action near a supply/demand zone.

 

Another big feature coming in this overhaul are closing warnings – whenever there is supply, price gets near to an important resistance, or there is weak action, the system will alert you so that you can reduce your risk.

 

Together with these changes, there were others to make the system easier to use and to setup. Check the VSA System changelog page for all the changes.

 

Users should check the updated user manual for all the info regarding each one of these features, and how to implement them in your trading. You will also have access to a ‘How to setup’ video in your user area. As always, feel free to contact us should you have any question.

 

Not an user yet? Try VSA demo here

Upcoming VSA System Update

I’m pleased to announce that we are about to launch the long awaited version 5.0 of the VSA system for Metatrader 4, that will improve many of the existing features and add entirely new ones. We have implemented many of the users requests from previous versions, and expanded the system to make it easier to use. With this new version, it will be easier to setup the charts, to use the alerts and to keep up with the exit signals.

 

Among the changes are:

  • Improved algorithms on Trading Setups – the system now checks for accumulation/distribution, price action and more
  • New alerts with congestion zones
  • Alert closing warnings
  • Alert locking
  • ‘Lighter-weight’ indicators
  • And more!

Exit warnings on EUR/USD H1

 

As always, the update will be free to existing users. Once the update is released, check for a notification on the charts or for an email.

Chart Types Used In Technical Analysis

 

Market Charts

 

 

After opening an account with a broker, traders need to be aware of the different chart types out there. These are essential for traders in terms of decision-making as the information they supply is much valuable. In the following article, we will cover the most popular chart types used not only in Foreign Exchange but in most financial markets. We will also reference other ways in which technical analysis can be more effective. But first, how exactly are Charts illustrated in trading?

 

Chart

 

Charts are usually represented either linearly or logarithmically, being the X axis time and the Y axis price. Most commonly used Charts are time-based, but there are also popular Charts that do not rely on this factor, as we will see on ahead. As such, in this type of Charts, price movement is represented depending on what Time Frame you are analyzing. These can be set to be daily, weekly or even monthly or charted on Intraday Time Frames as small as 4 hours, 1 hours, 30 minutes, 5 minutes or even every 1 minute.

The main advantage of having several Time Frames is that you can conduct Multiple Time Frame Analysis. This, as we discussed in previous articles, is a great aid when trying to spot better trading Scenarios. Furthermore, being time-based, this enables traders to view prices live, base their actions on past data and time their orders in a simple and effective way.

Another indicator, often overlooked but commonly used with time-based Charts in technical analysis are Volumes. These give us the number of times a contract or share was traded in the market and are a measurement of market strength. This means that the relevance of the price action often depends on volume in that time.

 

Volumes

 

Line Chart

 

The Line Chart, one of the simplest charts, only illustrates the closing price of the security in the specific Time Frame. The line is drawn, per example, by connecting the closing price of the GBP/USD at 11 p.m. to its next closing price at 12 p.m.

 

Line Chart

 

It is a clear and simple way of getting a general idea of the price movement’s direction in the market, which is preferred by some traders.

Nonetheless, it lacks information that is also important like the highest and lowest prices that the security reached in that Time Frame. This fact may be a deal breaker for traders whose strategies rely on these indicators, such as those who trade supports or resistances.  Trading trends or retracements can also be applicable in a line chart. However, other charts simply provide a more in depth analysis than line charts which is in most cases is preferable for technical Analysis

 

Bar Chart

 

Bar Charts, also referred to sometimes a type of OHLC Charts, add on the previous chart by being able to show Opening, High, Low and Closing prices, as the acronym sujests. They are composed of a series of vertical lines that represent the price range during that Time Frame. In addition, each vertical bar has two horizontal bars: One on the left indicating at what price the security opened and another on the right indicating at what price it closed.

 

Bar chart

 

Contrary to the line charts this will enable the trader to paint a better picture of the market with ease. Patterns and different signs that these bars can give allow the trader for a much more thorough analysis.

 

Candlestick Chart

 

Similar to the bar chart, the Candlestick Chart gives traders the same information but are represented in a different way.

The wider part of the candlestick is shown between the opening and closing price. It is typically colored in black/red when the security closes on a lower price and white/green the other way around.

The thinner parts of the candlestick are commonly referred to as the upper/lower wicks or as shadows. These show us the highest and/or lowest prices during that timeframe, compared to the closing and opening price.

 

Candlestick Chart

 

The main distinction between both charts has to do with the opening and closing prices. The bar chart focuses more on the relationship of the closing price from one Time Frame to another. On the other hand, with a quick look to a candlestick chart, market sentiment becomes much clearer. This due to the coloring of the real body of the candlestick which emphasizes the relationship between the closing and opening price within the same time frame. This illustration is one of the reasons why this type of chart is so popular.

 

Renko Chart

 

Unlike the other Charts, the Renko Chart focuses only on price movement, completely disregarding time and the usage of volumes.

This Chart is composed of white and black bricks. These are placed depending on weather the price rose or not compared with the previous brick. If it did by enough pips, established by the brick size, a new one is placed. White bricks are used when the price of the security goes up and black bricks when they go down.

 

Renko Chart

 

It is important to point out the fact that a new brick is only placed under certain volatility criteria. Either resulting in a major advantage or disadvantage for traders. It can be placed in a matter of minutes or take more than a day depending on market conditions. On one hand, this may be advantageous. Especially for traders who want a simple way of identifying supports and resistances, the overall trend and filter noise. On the other hand, this can make market sentiment hard to determine. Consequently rendering the usage of other analysis tools useless.

 

To Sum Up

 

Each Chart has its own utility. However, their usage depends on the type of trader you are and strategies that you prefer to put in practice. So, having a general knowledge of the options you have when it comes to analyzing securitie’s behaviour is an advantage.

To go even further and put to practice some of the concepts discussed in this article you can download a demo of our VSA package. Improve your trading results with supply/demand Signals and other indicators that this Trading System provides.

 

 

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Forex Terms and Concepts

Forex Terms

 

 

Like in any work environment, getting a hold of the terminology used on a daily basis is crucial. Trading forex is no exception. In this article we will go through some of the terms that we think are most commonly used in Forex. These are essential to better understanding how the market works.

 

Currency pair

 

All transactions being made in foreign exchange involve buying a currency while selling another one. Furthermore, a currency’s value can only be determined through comparison with another one. As such currencies are quoted in pairs. For example, one of the most traded currency pairs is the EUR/USD.

In this case, the base currency, the one on the left of the slash is the Euro. Conversely, the US Dollar is designated the quote currency. The base currency is the security you want to buy or sell while the quote currency sets the price at which you can exchange the base currency.

Still on the EUR/USD example, if the quote is 1.1862, this means that to buy 1 euro you would have to sell 1.1862 dollars. If the trader wanted to sell 1 euro he would receive 1.1862 dollars.

These currency pairs can be thought as being a single asset being traded. So, if someone buys the EUR/USD pair, this means that they are exchanging dollars for euros and when selling the other way around.

 

Major and Minor pairs

 

When talking about currency pairs, they can be usually referred to as Major or minor pairs. Major pairs are among the most transacted in Forex and the ones that offer more liquidity. For example the EUR/USD, USD/JPY and GBP/USD. All other currency pairs that aren’t as transacted are considered to be minor pairs.

It is also important to point out cross currency pairs. Although not so commonly traded, these are the currency pairs that don’t involve the USD, and thus usually have associated with them higher transaction costs.

 

Pips and Pippetes 

 

A pip (percentage in point) is the most basic measurement of price movement in currency pairs in the Forex market. Usually, currency pairs are expressed to the fourth decimal case, being the pip the last one. For added precision, some traders even look at pippete, which are 1/10 f the pip, in other words, the fifth decimal case. So, for instance, if a currency pair changed from 1.1862 to 1.1863 this meant that it changed 1 pip. This measurement applies to most cases but there are some exceptions, such as the USD/JPY (109.55) which is presented in most cases to the second decimal case.

Being aware of pip variation is extremely important when calculating expected returns and positioning yourself in the market.

 

Bid-Ask Spread

 

The bid is the price that traders are willing to pay to acquire a security. On the other hand, the ask is the price that traders are willing to make to sell a security, being the bid the smallest of the two. These are, essentially, indicators of the supply and demand for a specific security. The difference between both gives us the bid ask-spread. The tighter the gap between both the more liquid is security being traded. In other words, it can be sold more easily and quickly converted to money. Trading currency pairs are thus considered to be the most liquid assets to trade.

You can think of this as an ongoing negotiation taking place in the market. On one side you have those who want to exchange the base currency for the quote currency. On the other side, you have those that want the exact opposite. The broker/market maker will offset this apparent imbalance in the market and charge you the spread every time you want to exchange. This is considered the main transaction cost each time you trade.

It is important to point out that the current price of a pair is usually neither the bid nor the ask. It is the price at which the currency was last exchanged.

 

Going Long/Short

 

As previously mentioned, when buying/selling currency pairs, this is usually done depending on a traders’ belief on the future value of the base currency compared to the quote currency.

A trader is said to be bullish when he has a positive expectation regarding the value of a pair. In foreign exchange, like in any other market, bull traders hope to profit from an upward movement in a pairs’ price. Simply put they hope to buy and hold a currency pair and eventually sell it at a higher price after appreciating in value. This is usually designated as “opening a long position“.

Investors’ and traders’ attitude towards the market is called sentiment. So, even though there are bull traders, pessimistic traders also exist.

Which brings us to bearish traders. A trader is said to be bearish when he expects a currency pair to devaluate. In this case, they will go short on a currency pair. This means that a trader will borrow a currency pair from a broker, sell it and then, when closing the short position, repurchase it to the broker at a lower price.

 

To Sum Up

 

There a lot of jargons used in Forex and it can be easy to be overwhelmed with all of these concepts. However, when you get down to what they really mean, it isn’t all that difficult.

Constantly learning about new ones, or just reviewing them, is essential to becoming a better trader. With this in mind, we advise you to read more on our other articles and improve your knowledge on the subject.

 

 

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When Should I Trade Forex?

 Forex sessions and hours

 

 

After the fall of the Bretton Woods System in 1971, the world’s major currencies soon followed a floating exchange rate regime. Simply put, this meant that a currency’s value would be determined based on its supply and demand compared with another currency. With the exchange rate being such an important factor weighing on a country’s economic growth, currencies are always highly demanded. From central banks and governments to retail traders and businesses, all constantly make and meet orders. This means that the Forex market has a lot of liquidity and is open 24 hours, providing a very flexible scenario for traders.

These factors are some of the main advantages of the Forex market over other financial markets such as the stock or bond markets. Nevertheless, this also has its drawbacks. Just because the market is always open on weekdays that does not mean that you get the same market conditions every time. Depending on the time and session you’re in, ranges, volumes and the pairs being predominantly traded vary.

In this article, we will discuss when one should trade by covering the main forex hours and sessions.

 

Major Forex Sessions

 

Firstly, what exactly are trading sessions? A trading session is a period of time during a business day in financial markets in which buyers and sellers set the current market price. In this case the pair’s exchange rate. In the Forex market, those considered to be the most important ones are the major financial centers in North America, Europe, and Asia. Namely Tokyo, London, and New York.

In the following table we can observe at what time they open and close according to the Greenwich Mean Time (GMT):

 

GMT Forex Sessions

 

 

Note: It is important to point out that the Forex market opens on Sundays at 21.00 (GMT+0) and closes on Fridays at 21.00 (GMT+0) in the Winter time. Adjusting to your time zone and taking into consideration the daylight saving time, will tell you at what hours the market opens and closes for you. For example, if you live in Portugal (GMT+1), the market schedule will be from Sundays to Fridays at 22:00 pm.

 

Asian Session

 

Trading in the Asia-Pacific region accounts for approximately a quarter of all transactions made in Forex. When being referred to, the Asian Session is often associated with the Tokyo session as it is one of the largest trading centers in the world. This should come as no surprise as the Japanese yen is the third most traded currency in the world. However not only Japan trades in this session. Russia, Malaysia and South Korea are among others participating. Moreover, with Asia and the Pacific region’s rapid development over the years, financial centers such as Singapore, Hong Kong, and Sydney gained importance.

One characteristic of this session is that prices are usually less volatile and average hourly moves are smaller. This leads to supports and resistances being more likely to hold, allowing to trade ranges. Although less likely, news events can serve to trade breakouts as well.

Currency pairs that involve the Japanese Yen (JPY) , Australian dollar (AUD) or the New Zealand dollar (NZD) are more likely to show stronger movements. Being the first session of the trading day, it sets the tone for the following market sessions to come.

 

European Session

 

Before the Asian trading hours come to an end, the European session opens. A number of big trading centers operate during this time. However, London is undeniably the most important one. Mostly due to its location and the fact that it accounts for approximately 30% of all transactions being made in Forex. As a result, it is considered to be the Forex capital of the world and the epicenter of this session.

In the beginning, the previously stubborn supports/resistances are more likely to be broken due to volatility. This Tokyo/London overlap is the second most active period of the trading day, only outclassed in the afternoon. More specifically when London and New York are open at the same time.

During this session, the subjacent higher liquidity provides a better setup to trade trends. In between, as lunchtime approaches, there is a significant loss in activity as traders fuel up for the busiest overlap to come. At the end of the session, with so much activity, trends may reverse as traders seek to lock their earnings (excess supply/demand).

 

North American Session

 

The US Dollar is by far the most traded currency in the world. It is present in 80% of all trades being made in the market, either directly or as a vehicle. Like all currencies, fundamental economic variables support its value. In this case, those variables come from the world’s largest economy, the United States, hence its value.

As previously mentioned, the most active hours occur when major sessions overlap. Being the London/New York overlap the most active one, this allows for transaction costs to be at their lowest values. The bid-ask spread is thus minimized and placing orders becomes much cheaper. With so much liquidity nearly any pair can be traded, but major pairs like EUR/USDUSD/CHF and GBP/USD offer the smallest spreads.

After the overlap with the European session, activity usually dies down. At the end of the New York session, most traders start closing their positions. Those that trade the North American/Asian overlap still find some liquidy. However not as pronounced, and falling once more into the range trading associated with the Tokyo session. The market activity naturally reaches its lowest point on Friday afternoon.

 

To Sum up

 

Some might argue that the Asian session is the best as low volatility enables you to manage your trades more functionally . Others might say that most liquid hours will provide more opportunities for good trades. So overlapping sessions are the best answer. But it all comes down to the same thing. It depends on what works better for you.

When deciding when to trade you should take several factors into consideration:

  • Volatility – Evaluate if greater pip ranges suit your trading and risk profile or not;
  • Your schedule – There is always a new opportunity for a good trade. There is no need to overdo it. Being tired or not having the right mindset won’t help your results at all;
  • Other time frames – Don’t stick to just one time frame. Conducting multi-timeframe analysis will enable you to better identify trends and signals;
  • Economics Drivers – Central banks’ reaction to economic growth, commodity trading, etc. Being aware of them can greatly aid your market analysis and ultimately provide you with better trades;

 

 

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