The NFP is due in some hours, and we found 3 potential trading opportunities before and after the release, in NZD/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. Below you can check the current market background, short-term trend and nearest supports/resistances for each pair. As always, we are using VSA, and associated indicators, for a supply/demand view of the market.
NZD/USD M15
Background: Strong
Short-term trend: Down
Support: 0.68500
NZD/USD may be a solid trading opportunity for a late Tokyo Session or early London. We’re approaching a major news announcement and, if NZD/USD retraces after the announcement, it may be a good buying opportunity near the long-term support at 0.68500. If prices touch the resistance and bounce back, traders may open a long position, which will be reinforced in case there are demand signals. Low volume bars during a downtrend near a resistance may also anticipate a trend reversion.
GBP/USD 1H
Background: Weak
Short-term trend: Neutral
Resistance: 1.29648
Support: 1.28631
In this case, we see a long-term downtrend and prices near the upper bound. After the news, in the case of GBP/USD appreciates and touches the trendline, it may be a good opportunity to short. This is because there was distribution before, and if NFP doesn’t change things radically, it could give a shot to trade GBP/USD.
USD/JPY 1H
Background: Strong
Short-term trend: Up
There are no supports, neither resistances nearby. However, we saw an uptrend that was broken with high volumes during the US session. News about US employment are due in a few hours and it will bring some volatility. In case prices approach the trend line from below, it may become a short opportunity. Look for low volume bars approaching the trendline.
The NFP will dictate what happens next, but by being alert to what’s happening now, we can better plan our trades.
In today’s Tokyo’s session I found 2 potential opportunities for the next session, on 2 of the major pairs: GBP/USD, and USD/JPY.
GBP/USD 30 MINUTES
Background: Weak
Short-term Trend: Down
Support: 1.2767
Resistance: 1.2904
GBPUSD 30 Minutes
- At this point, we can see distribution (many supply signals on sideways movement)
- Based on this weakness behind, wait for a short BREAKOUT alert from Alert System.
The next news important news (Retail Sales m/m) is in roughly 8 hours, so, be sure to look for a breakout afterward. Depending on the news result, there could be a reversal near the 1.27 support – let’s wait and see what VSA shows at that area.
USD/JPY 1 HOUR
Background: Neutral
Short-term Trend: Down
Support: 109.213
USD/JPY Hourly
- Prices broke out the 109.213 resistance with high volume in today’s US session. There is latent supply shown by VSA supply signals
Although there was a breakout, the background is still neutral due to the recent supply signals. Still, if no more supply shows at these prices, I am still bullish, and looking for a long position, on a low volume down bar, above 109.213. The Alert System is also likely to alert if prices get nearer.
